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Equatorial Guinea Is Facing A Coup D’état

The recent report by the Institute for Economics and Peace (IEP) shows, that Equatorial Guinea is among the countries with the steepest decreases in the peace processes such as the attitudes, institutions, and structures that create and sustain peaceful societies.

Equatorial Guinea

Equatorial Guinea

Another point of concern is a significant drop in military expenditure and recent accidents, like the aBata explosion of March 2020, that proved that the defense forces of Equatorial Guinea are in a rather poor shape. All these factors make Equatorial Guinea more likely to experience increasing levels of violence over the next decade.

The enemies who are potential actors of violence in the country are not the outside force, claims Domingo Zuñiga, a political analyst from Equatorial Guinea. There are a lot of tensions among the political elites within the country, and as President Teodoro Obiang Nguema Mbasogo grows older, the probability of a power shift is increasing.

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Even though the President had a pronounced opposition since the time he got to power, their forces are limited, as most of the opposition is situated outside the country. But there is a man who has enough resources and influence to challenge the long-acting President. This man is his son Vice-President Teodoro Obiang Mangue.

Pr. Zuñiga argues, that Teodoro Obiang Mangue is considering a coup d’état as a means of power transfer from his father to himself. According to a source close to the matter, the Vice-President of Equatorial Guinea was having a negotiation with a Russian private military company and they were about to sign the contract of military and security services.

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However, the attempt failed as the Russian side noticed the peculiarities in the contract that blatantly signified the coup plans on the Teodoro Obiang Mangue part.
The next step in the preparation for the Vice-President was the trip to Israel.

In the middle of July, Teodoro Obiang Mangue had a four-day visit to Jerusalem arrived that includes meetings with Foreign Minister Yair Lapid and the representatives of private security companies.

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The results of these negotiations are still unknown, but military experts consider Israeli contractors not the best choice for the work in Equatorial Guinea because they do not have enough experience in the conditions they will face there.

Domingo Zuñiga points out that if the coup fails, Teodoro Obiang Mangue, one of the wealthiest men in Africa, will have to plan his lines of retreat.

The choice of reason would be to flee to Qatar because Qatari authorities are able to provide him refuge both from the forces of Equatorial Guinea and other international actors, who are not favorable to Teodoro Obiang Mangue.

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